http://bugs.winehq.org/show_bug.cgi?id=16502
--- Comment #7 from Arno Schuring aelschuring@hotmail.com 2008-12-21 12:58:35 --- Yes it appears to be a duplicate of #15983, considering comment #5 and #7 indicate that the problem goes away when using a more recent JRE. But then again, my bisection indicates this problem was introduced between 1.0.2 and 1.0.3, and one reporter on that bug mentions that Wine 1.0.0 doesn't work either (to be certain, I just tested wine-1.0.1 (there is no tag wine-1.0.0?) and the installer works correctly). Finally, I don't have FM2009 so I can't verify (the URL in the report leads to a 404).
If you are able to test FM2009, try to run the Java installer manually with -Dsun.java2d.noddraw=true added on the command line. If that works, my report is indeed a duplicate. Bisection information should then be added to bug #15983 as well.
(and re #5: performing a full build made no difference)