https://bugs.winehq.org/show_bug.cgi?id=46559
--- Comment #4 from Andre Mohren andremohren@gmail.com --- After even more debugging, i came across this secion in the wine log:
0037:fixme:bcrypt:BCryptGetFipsAlgorithmMode 0x33eb68 - semi-stub 0037:fixme:ncrypt:NCryptOpenStorageProvider (0x33ed0c, L"Microsoft Software Key Storage Provider", 0): stub
As the installer fails at some xml signature verification, it might be possible that the unimplemented method is actualy the reason.