http://bugs.winehq.org/show_bug.cgi?id=21619
--- Comment #7 from Austin English austinenglish@gmail.com --- (In reply to comment #6)
Those two warnings are probably not related.
I tried this again myself. That downloader gets X4 now, not X2. X4 exits silently on startup with error err:module:attach_process_dlls "TKernel.dll" failed to initialize, aborting Workaround: winetricks vcrun2008 That got me far enough to request a key. I'll test more later.
It's the same in wine-1.7.10-241-g6bd6193, I didn't try requesting a key though. Please retest.