Ubuntu Popularity Contest - 37% Wine install base, 10% who use, and 7% who use regularly
The Ubuntu "popcon" package is installed when a user opts to share anonymous usage data during the install process (or within the synaptic package manager).
Analyzing the data (http://popcon.ubuntu.com/), we can see the following for Wine:
wine 215262 installed 41731 use regularly 156710 don't use
compare this with dpkg, which every Ubuntu system has:
dpkg 576989 installed 151098 use regularly 411213 don't use
Doing some division, this means that a rather high 37% of Ubuntu users have Wine installed, and 10% of all Ubuntu users actually make use of Wine. 7% use Wine "frequently", however popcon defines that.
Combine this with other estimates of Ubuntu's user base (about 8 million last I heard), and you have approximately 800,000 Wine users.
This data is slightly biased - it doesn't include most Wubi users who installed Ubuntu from within Windows, since they aren't given any installation questions. I believe, though can't prove, that this means we are under-representing Wine users, as it seems reasonable that Wubi installs would be more likely to have Windows applications to run and thus need Wine.
Thanks, Scott Ritchie
This statistic also neglects people who install wine from source without building a package, and I know that is a non-trivial number of people.
On Fri, May 30, 2008 at 10:17 AM, Scott Ritchie scott@open-vote.org wrote:
Doing some division, this means that a rather high 37% of Ubuntu users have Wine installed, and 10% of all Ubuntu users actually make use of Wine. 7% use Wine "frequently", however popcon defines that.
Combine this with other estimates of Ubuntu's user base (about 8 million last I heard), and you have approximately 800,000 Wine users.
On Fri, May 30, 2008 at 10:17 AM, Scott Ritchie scott@open-vote.org wrote:
Combine this with other estimates of Ubuntu's user base (about 8 million last I heard), and you have approximately 800,000 Wine users.
That would be 800,000 Wine users on Ubuntu right? 10% of the (8 million) So with all the other Linux distros, BSD's, Mac, Solaris... The total user base would be closer to 2 million or more?
Tom
Tom Wickline wrote:
On Fri, May 30, 2008 at 10:17 AM, Scott Ritchie scott@open-vote.org wrote:
Combine this with other estimates of Ubuntu's user base (about 8 million last I heard), and you have approximately 800,000 Wine users.
That would be 800,000 Wine users on Ubuntu right? 10% of the (8 million) So with all the other Linux distros, BSD's, Mac, Solaris... The total user base would be closer to 2 million or more?
Tom
Indeed. If Ubuntu still represents the ~30% marketshare it had in 2007 when they did the dekstoplinux.com survey (http://www.desktoplinux.com/cgi-bin/survey/survey.cgi?view=archive&id=08...), and if users of other distributions are just as likely to use Wine as Ubuntu users, then we can estimate there are about 2.6 million Wine users out there.
Wow! Of course, this estimate is too high if Ubuntu has grown substantially in marketshare since the 2007 survey, but even if Ubuntu has climbed to 40% that's still 2 million Wine users out there.
Thanks, Scott Ritchie
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Clarence "Sparr" Risher -
Scott Ritchie -
Tom Wickline